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Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean

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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 280539
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jun 28 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg


There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Jun 2017 10:33:28 GMT

 

Eastern Pacific


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 280552
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jun 27 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Dora, located a few hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure is expected to form late this week a
few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico.  Some
gradual development of this system is possible by early next week
while it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Tropical Storm Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Storm Dora (EP4/EP042017)
    ...DORA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... As of 3:00 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 the center of Dora was located near 19.8, -113.1 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Dora

  • Tropical Storm Dora Public Advisory Number 14
    Issued at 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017 000 WTPZ34 KNHC 280835 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dora Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042017 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017 ...DORA FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 113.1W ABOUT 295 MI...480 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dora was located near latitude 19.8 North, longitude 113.1 West. Dora is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast, and Dora is expected to degenerate to a remnant low later today. The remnant low should then dissipate by Thursday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) to the north of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells affecting the southwestern coast of the Baja California peninsula will gradually subside today but could still cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT. $$ Forecaster Berg ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Dora Forecast Advisory Number 14
    Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017 000 WTPZ24 KNHC 280835 TCMEP4 TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042017 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.1W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 113.1W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 112.6W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.4N 114.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.2N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 117.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 15 KT...GUSTS 20 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.8N 113.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Dora Forecast Discussion Number 14
    Issued at 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017 000 WTPZ44 KNHC 280836 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Dora Discussion Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042017 300 AM MDT Wed Jun 28 2017 Microwave images indicate that Dora stopped producing deep convection soon after 0000 UTC, and all cloud tops warmed above -50C by 0245 UTC. The circulation now consists of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds, and the initial intensity is lowered to 35 kt based on a blend of the latest subjective and objective Dvorak estimates. Deep convection is unlikely to return due to cold sea surface temperatures, and Dora is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low later this morning or this afternoon. Dora has slowed down with an initial motion estimate of 285/9 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the north of the cyclone should maintain Dora on a similar west-northwestward trajectory for the next day or two. Based on the latest surface fields from the GFS and ECMWF models, the remnant low is forecast to dissipate by 48 hours. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/0900Z 19.8N 113.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 28/1800Z 20.4N 114.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 29/0600Z 21.2N 116.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 29/1800Z 21.6N 117.7W 15 KT 15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Dora Wind Speed Probabilities Number 14
    Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017 000 FOPZ14 KNHC 280835 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042017 0900 UTC WED JUN 28 2017 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BERG ]]>
  • Tropical Storm Dora Graphics
    Tropical Storm Dora 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 28 Jun 2017 08:41:14 GMT

    Tropical Storm Dora 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 28 Jun 2017 09:22:02 GMT ]]>